The U.S. construction industry faces a significant labor shortage, with the need for 456,000 new workers in 2027, up 30.7% from the 349,000 needed this year. This surge in demand is partly driven by the rapid expansion of AI infrastructure projects, according to a report from the Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC).
Anirban Basu, ABC's Chief Economist, warns that failing to meet this demand will exacerbate labor shortages, particularly in certain regions and occupations, leading to higher labor costs. The majority of the new-worker demand this year stems from retirements rather than an increased need for construction services.
Despite the AI boom, overall construction spending is expected to break out of a slump and return to growth for the first time in years. According to ABC's model, every additional $1 billion spent on construction translates to a demand for 3,450 new jobs. If spending forecasts are overly conservative, the industry will need even more workers, Basu says.
Just days after the ABC report, quarterly reports from major tech companies like Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, Google, and Oracle reveal jaw-dropping capital expenditure forecasts for 2026. These companies are expected to spend a combined $700 billion this year, up from $400 billion last year, with much of that going toward AI, including chips and data centers.
While tech giants stoke construction demand, President Donald Trump’s immigration crackdown has largely cut off the flow of traditional workers for the sector. This has worsened the labor shortage and forced project delays, according to the Associated General Contractors of America. Last year, 92% of construction firms that are hiring reported having trouble finding qualified workers.
AI data center projects often offer more lucrative opportunities for construction firms, exacerbating shortages for other projects such as apartments, factories, and healthcare facilities. ABC calculates that outlays for new data center construction during the first 10 months of 2025 jumped 32% from the same period a year earlier. Since August 2024, nonresidential specialty trade contractors have added 95,000 jobs.
A separate report from BlackRock cites Labor Department forecasts showing employment in skilled trades will grow by 5.3% on average from 2024 to 2034, compared to the overall rate of 3.1%. Among specific trades, electricians and HVAC technicians are expected to see the fastest growth, with increases of 9.5% and 8.1%, respectively.
The industry's demographics pose an additional challenge, as nearly one-fifth of the construction workforce is over 55. Apprenticeships and licensing require years of training, slowing the replacement of retiring workers. BlackRock emphasizes the urgency of recruiting and training the next generation of skilled workers before critical knowledge retires.
These forecasts contrast with recent speed bumps in the broader labor market. The share of consumers who think jobs are hard to find is at a five-year high, and the number of announced layoffs in January hit the highest since 2009. Job openings in December were the lowest in five years.
Ford CEO Jim Farley has been sounding the alarm on the massive shortfall in workers for what he calls the “essential economy.” Last year, he estimated a deficit of 600,000 workers in factories and nearly half a million in construction. Farley also warned that the U.S. has overlooked the labor needed to build and sustain data centers and manufacturing facilities.
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